6* Southern Conference *CA$H COW* on The Citadel +19.5

Davidson vs. The Citadel, 02/16/2013 19:05 EDT, Score: 72 - 57

Point Spread: +19½/-106 The Citadel

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Win

6* Southern Conference *CA$H COW* on The Citadel +19.5
The Key: Davidson is coming off a big win over College Charleston, and I expect it to get caught looking past a Citadel squad it defeated by 32 a month ago. Consider that plays against any team that has covered the spread in 2 consecutive games as a favorite and is matched up against a foe that checks in off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 25-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Davidson has been susceptible on the road where it is even 5-14 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record the last 3 seasons. It is on a 9-19 ATS slide as a road favorite or pickem. The Wildcats have been solid on the defensive end throughout the season, but Citadel has never lost in this situation against good defensive teams under Chuck Driesell. In fact, they are 6-0 ATS all-time when at least 15 games into the schedule under his watch when matched up against teams that allow 64 points or less per game. Cit has actually managed to hold its own versus these teams and has edged them by .3 points on average. Take the points.