15* Big East GAME OF THE NIGHT on DePaul +11.5
DePaul vs. Notre Dame,
02/13/2013 19:00 EDT,
Score: 78 - 82
Point Spread: +11½/-110 DePaul
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are in a huge letdown spot tonight. They're coming off a 5 Overtime thriller Saturday, outlasting Louisville 104-101. Off such a huge win over a Top 10 team, the Irish will have a very hard time showing up tonight against DePaul.
The Irish will also find it hard to show up for this game considering they just beat DePaul on the road 79-71 (OT) on February 2nd less than two weeks ago. They clearly won't bring the kind of effort it takes to put away the Blue Demons by double-digits.
Conversely, DePaul comes in highly motivated to avenge that overtime loss to rival Notre Dame. It also is hungry for a victory following eight straight losses in Big East play, five of which have come by 11 points or less. The Blue Demons will have no problem getting up to face the rival Irish tonight.
This has been a very closely-contested rivalry throughout the years. 10 of the last 12 meetings in this series have been decided by 11 points or less, including six of the last seven being decided by 10 points or fewer.
This play falls into a system that is 25-6 (80.6%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (DEPAUL) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games.
DePaul is 11-3 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Notre Dame is 15-29 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. The road team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings dating back to 2008. Roll with DePaul Wednesday.