15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Virginia Tech +14.5

Virginia Tech vs. Virginia, 02/12/2013 19:00 EDT, Score: 55 - 73

Point Spread: +14½/-104 Virginia Tech

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Loss

The Virginia Tech Hokies are showing some of their best value of the season as a huge road underdog to rival Virginia tonight. I look for this game to go right down to the wire and for the Hokies to easily stay within this inflated number.

Virginia is in a big letdown spot here. It is coming off an 80-69 road win at Maryland on Sunday, and it also has road games against UNC and Miami on deck. That makes this a look-ahead spot for the Cavaliers. Also, they will only be playing on one days' rest, so this is a tired team right now.

Another reason Virginia will have a hard time getting motivated to play tonight is the fact that it already won at Virginia Tech 74-58 on January 24th in their first meeting of the season. That game was much closer than the final score would indicate as the Cavaliers simply pulled away late.

Virginia Tech clearly wants revenge from that defeat, and it has shown that it can hang on the road this season. The Hokies won at Georgia Tech 70-65 as a 10-point underdog, played Clemson to a 70-77 game as an 11.5-point dog, and took North Carolina to overtime as a 16.5-point dog.

The Hokies are 8-0 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. They are only losing in this spot 58.6 to 61.6, or by an average of 3.0 points/game. Virginia Tech is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Virginia Tech Tuesday.