4* NBA NO BRAINER on Houston Rockets +
Houston vs. Golden State,
02/12/2013 22:30 EDT,
Score: 116 - 107
Point Spread: +4½/-110 Houston
This is too many points for the Rockets to be getting tonight at Golden State. I know that the Warriors are a better team than most people realize at 30-21, but their scoring margin is still only that of a .500 team at exactly 0. Houston on the other hand is 28-25 but is outscoring their opponents by 3 ppg so they are under-rated in my opinion.
Houston lost last time out at Sacramento as a six point favorite, so I expect them to buckle down on the second game of their road trip. Golden State on the other hand has lost four in a row on the road and were soundly beaten in each of those games. It all started with a 31 point loss in Houston. The public seems to think NBA teams come out for revenge, but actually you want to play against home teams revenging a road blowout loss by 20 points or more against an opponent off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 121-71 (63%) since 1996.
I'll take the points here tonight.