15* NBA Monday Night ANNIHILATOR on Dallas Mavericks -4.5

Atlanta vs. Dallas, 02/11/2013 20:30 EDT, Score: 105 - 101

Point Spread: -4½/-110 Dallas

Sportsbook: WilliamHill

Result: Loss

The Dallas Mavericks are undervalued right now due to their 22-28 record. This is arguably the best team in the league that has a losing record. Dirk Nowitzki is back and healthy, and there's no question these Mavs will make a run at the playoffs before it's all said and done.

In fact, many Dallas players have made a pact to not shave their beards until they get back to .500 on the season. They have won two straight over Western Conference playoff contenders Portland (105-99) and Golden State (116-91), and now I look for them to make easy work of Atlanta tonight.

The biggest way to tell that the Mavs are undervalued right now is by looking at their recent ATS run. They are an incredible 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall while cashing 85% of the time. Somehow, some way the betting public has not caught on to the fact that this team is undervalued.

Atlanta is not playing well right now. It has lost three of its last four all by double-digits. The Hawks were beaten by Chicago (76-93) and New Orleans (100-111) at home while also falling at Indiana (103-114). This is a team that has been in a rut ever since losing Louis Williams (14.1 PPG) for the season.

The Hawks are 0-8 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Both teams come in well-rested, but it clearly hasn't been doing the Hawks any good this year. The Mavericks are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. Roll with the Mavericks Monday.