15* Washington/USC Pac-12 BAILOUT on Washington +2.5
Washington vs. USC,
02/10/2013 22:00 EDT,
Score: 60 - 71
Point Spread: +2½/-105 Washington
The Washington Huskies should not be an underdog to the USC Trojans tonight. After losing three of their last four games to arguably the three best teams in the Pac-12 in Oregon, Arizona and UCLA by a combined 11 points, the Huskies will come back highly motivated for a victory tonight.
Two of those losses came on the road at Oregon (76-81) and at UCLA (57-59), so this team has proven it can play with anyone in the conference anywhere. USC is one of the worst teams in the Pac-12, and it is simply getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.
The Trojans (10-13) have been winning their close games of late, proving victorious in three of their last five games overall with those three wins coming by a combined 9 points. Their luck runs out tonight against a much superior Washington team that is clearly better than its 13-10 record would indicate.
The Huskies absolutely crushed USC in both meetings last season, and I look for that to be the case again tonight. Washington won 69-41 at home as an 11-point favorite on February 4th, and 80-58 on the road on March 1st. The Trojans will be overmatched in this one as well.
This play falls into a system that is 74-38 (66.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
Washington is 6-0 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Huskies are 6-0 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 7-0 ATS after playing a road game this season. The Trojans are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. These four trens combined for a perfect 26-0 system backing the Huskies. Take Washington Sunday.