Clemson +3.5 over NC State

North Carolina State vs. Clemson, 02/10/2013 13:00 EDT, Score: 58 - 57

Point Spread: +3½/-107 Clemson

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

NC State was once considered once of the best teams in the nation, but after dropping three straight and four of their last five it's no surprise that is a thing of the past. This team doesn't force turnovers and doesn't do a great job on the glass, giving their opponents six more shots per game than they attempt.

Clemson has lost two in a row and things go ugly at Virginia, but at home this team has won four straight in ACC action. I expect their defense to clamp down in this one as the Tigers are 11-2 ATS at home after allowing a shooting percentage of 50% or higher for two straight games and 32-14 at home after a double digit loss since 1997.

The first time these two teams played NC State managed a four point victory at home. However, in that game Clemson shot 5-of-19 behind the 3-point line compared to 6-for-12 for the Wolfpack. NC State also attempted 23 free throws compared to Clemson's 7. I expect those numbers to normalize today and for Clemson to pull off the home win.

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