20* Heat/Nuggets ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Miami -3.5

Miami vs. Denver, 01/13/2012 22:30 EDT, Score: 104 - 117

Point Spread: -3½/-105 Miami

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

The Miami Heat are not about to lose three in a row. After back-to-back overtime losses, I have Miami bouncing back in a big way tonight in Denver. Look for the Heat to be more motivated for this game than any other so for this season. This team is very dangerous when they play with a chip on their shoulder.

Denver is not a good defensive team, and they have no chance containing Lebron, Wade and Bosh in this one. The Heat lead the league in scoring at 106.6 points/game while connecting on a ridiculous 48.8 percent of their shots. This is simply not a good match-up for the Nuggets.

This play falls into a system that is 87-41 (68%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on favorites (MIAMI) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of