4* NBA *BEST BET*
Indiana vs. Toronto,
01/13/2012 19:00 EDT,
Score: 95 - 90
Point Spread: +5½/-105 Toronto
4* NBA *BEST BET* on Raptors +5.5
Andrea Bargnani is likely out tonight, but I still really like Toronto catching 5.5 points. Motivated by back-to-back losses and a 5-point loss to the Pacers on Dec. 28, and knowing they'll need to step up without their leading scorer, I expect an inspired effort from the Raptors here.
Indiana has been inconsistent on the road this season, and likely won't give Toronto its full attention here, especially with a big matchup against Boston scheduled for tomorrow night.
Home court has meant everything in this series. In fact, the home team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. We also find the Pacers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Toronto. It is also worth noting that the Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points while the Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take Toronto.