3* on Oklahoma State -

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State, 02/06/2013 19:00 EDT, Score: 67 - 69

Point Spread: -7/-110 Oklahoma State

Sportsbook: JustBet.cx

Result: Loss

3* on Oklahoma State -

Some might think the Cowboys are in a letdown spot after beating Kansas in Lawrence, but I think Oklahoma State keeps right on rolling. This team has now won three straight and has looked good in doing so.

The Cowboys last lost a couple of weeks ago to Baylor by a score of 64-54, but in that game they shot just 34.9% from the floor and made just two of their 16 3-point attempts. Baylor also shot 11 more free throws in that game. This sets us up for a nice little system that says you want to play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a same season loss to an opponent in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of over 60%. These teams are 111-63 (63.8%) over the last five seasons.

Baylor is an over-rated team that took advantage of a weak non-conference schedule to pad their numbers. This team is shooting 45.5% from the floor, but only 40.1% in their 8 conference games. The Bears have dropped back to back games to Oklahoma and Iowa State and I don't see them getting back on track against a hot Cowboys squad. Against common opponents this year Oklahoma State is 4-2 with a 10.2 ppg margin of victory while Baylor is just 3-4 with a 5.1 margin of victory. If you factor in the home court the Cowboys should be laying more than they are.