15* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE NIGHT on Missouri State +20

Missouri State vs. Creighton, 01/30/2013 20:05 EDT, Score: 77 - 91

Point Spread: +20/-105 Missouri State

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

I have been backing Missouri State with a ton of success over the past month. This is one of the most underrated teams in the country, and once again the Bears are undervalued as a 20-point road underdog to Creighton tonight.

While Missouri State is just 4-5 SU in conference play, it is an incredible 8-1 ATS against MVC opponents this season. Four of its five losses came by 10 points or less. Sure, the one exception was a 52-74 home loss to Creighton, but that puts the Bears in revenge mode tonight.

The Bluejays will have a hard time getting motivated to face a team that they already beat by 22 points this season. That will allow the Bears to keep it close for most of the game as the Bluejays won't be mentally in it. Creighton has shown it is vulnerable by losing two of its last three games, including a 69-74 loss at Drake.

The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Missouri State is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games. The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Missouri State is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. These four trends combine for a perfect 16-0 system backing the Bears. Bet Missouri State Wednesday.