25* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Joseph's -7
St. Bonaventure vs. Saint Joseph's,
01/23/2013 19:00 EDT,
Score: 73 - 64
Point Spread: -7/-110 Saint Joseph's
Simply put, the St. Joseph's Hawks have underachieved this season with a 10-6 start despite returning all five starters from last season. However, that works to our advantage here as they are clearly undervalued as only a 7-point home favorite over St. Bonaventure (8-9).
St. Joseph's has really started showing signs of being undervalued by going a perfect 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. They won at Duquesne 74-66 as a 6-point favorite and at Pennsylvania 79-59 as an 11.5-point favorite. They also lost at VCU 86-92 (OT) as a 12-point dog during this stretch.
St. Bonaventure has lost six of its last seven games overall. It is getting too much respect for its 81-78 win at Temple over the weekend, which has kept this line lower than it should be. The Bonnies are 2-6 in true road games this year, including recent ugly road losses to George Washington (59-78), Colorado State (64-85), and NC State (73-92).
Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is a perfect 6-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last six meetings. St. Joseph's has won 10 straight home meetings with St. Bonaventure. The last have all come by 7 points or more with victories by 14, 7, 11, 25, 31, 18 and 32 points. As you can see, their last seven home games in this series since 2004 have resulted in wins by an average of 19.7 points/game.
The Hawks are 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. They are winning in this spot by an average of 14.6 points/game. Bet St. Joseph's Wednesday.