15* Heat/Clippers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 203

Miami vs. LA Clippers, 01/11/2012 22:30 EDT, Score: 89 - 95

Total: -103/+203 Over

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

The Miami Heat have brought a pace and space philosophy into the new season under head coach Erik Spoelstra. He went to Oregon football coach Chip Kelly to get some advice on this pace and space style. As a result, the Heat are now playing the most up-tempo style in the league to take advantage of their superior athleticism.

Miami leads the league in scoring at 108.1 points/game, which is 6.4 points more than second place. However, the Heat have the fourth-worst scoring defense at 98.0 points/game. So as you can see, Miami is combining with their opponents to average 206.1 points/game this season. They have gone 7-3 to the OVER in all games.

The Clippers have a very good team this season with the additions they made in the offseason. L.A. is 8th in the league in scoring at 99.3 points/game, but they are just 25th in scoring defense at 97.6 points/game. The Clippers are a team that can keep pace with the Heat, and I look for a high-scoring game because of it.

The OVER is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games following a loss. The OVER is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games overall. The OVER is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in this series. Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday.