15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Minnesota Timberwolves +8

Minnesota vs. Atlanta, 01/21/2013 14:00 EDT, Score: 96 - 104

Point Spread: +8/-110 Minnesota

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Push

The Minnesota Timberwolves are way undervalued right now due to their recent string of injuries to good players like Kevin Love and Nikola Pekovic. However, what the betting public fails to realize is that this team is one of the deepest in the league, which allows it to overcome these injuries and remain competitive.

That was on display last time out as the Timberwolves made easy work of the Houston Rockets by a final of 92-79. They had six different players score in double figures in a complete team win. Andrei Kirilenko led the way with 21, followed by Luke Ridnour (16), Chris Johnson (15), Derrick Williams (11), Jose Barea (11) and Mickael Gelabale (11).

The Atlanta Hawks are playing their worst basketball of the season right now, which is why they should not be an 8-point favorite today. They are 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall. That includes an embarrassing 58-97 loss at Chicago on January 14th. Atlanta also has injury issues of its own as Devin Harris and Deshawn Stevenson are questionable, while Lou Williams is out for the season.

This play falls into a system that is 23-3 (88.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites (ATLANTA) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. Roll with the Timberwolves Monday.