4* ODDS MAKERS ERROR on South Dakota +

South Dakota vs. Oakland, 01/19/2013 18:00 EDT, Score: 97 - 78

Point Spread: +11½/-110 South Dakota

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

4* ODDS MAKERS ERROR on South Dakota +





I went against Oakland last time out when they played UMKC and I'm going to continue to do so until the odds makers stop overvaluing them. These two have six games against common opponents and both are 3-3, but Oakland is winning by 3.5 ppg compared to 2.5 ppg for South Dakota.



The Golden Grizzlies are allowing 49.2% from the field while South Dakota is an above average shooting team. Both of these teams get to the free throw line, but Oakland fouls more than usual while the Coyotes rarely put the opposition on the line. This is a lot of points and I'll gladly take them today.



A nice system supports our play today that say to fade double digit favorites off a no-cover as a win as a favorite when that team has won between 40-50% of their games. This situation is 33-12 ATS since 1997. If the team they are playing has a losing record that number jumps to 25-8 ATS.