15* NBA Western Conference Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 184

LA Clippers vs. Memphis, 01/14/2013 20:00 EDT, Score: 99 - 73

Total: -110/+184 Under

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

The Los Angeles Clippers and Memphis Grizzlies are becoming bitter rivals. They played in a seven-game series last May in the playoffs, which has fueled the fire for their regular season meetings this year. I look for the defensive intensity to be high between these familiar foes tonight.

Looking at the recent meetings between these teams, it's easy to see that there is some value with the UNDER tonight. Five of the last six meetings have seen 178 or few points at the end of regulation. Also, four of those six have gone UNDER the posted total, and another would have if not for overtime after an 87-87 tie at the end of regulation.

A big factor as to why I like the UNDER in this contest is the fact that Memphis is going to be without leading scorer Rudy Gay (17.8 PPG), who will miss tonight's game to attend his grandmother's funeral. The Grizzlies will likely be a little lost offensively without him considering they run so many plays for him.

Memphis is 9-1 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons. The Grizzlies are 8-0 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 7-0 UNDER after scoring 85 points or less this season. These three trends combine for a 24-1 (96%) system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.