Joe D's NCAAB Big East GoM

Louisville vs. Connecticut, 01/14/2013 19:00 EDT, Score: 73 - 58

Point Spread: -7/-105 Louisville

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

Monday's winner is Louisville over Connecticut. This is my Big East GoM.

UConn lost three games this season. OK, I can see the NC State defeat, but dropping games to New Mexico and Marquette tells me Connecticut is erratic. They just came off a big win over Notre Dame as an 8 1/2 point 'dog. Now it's let-down time. The Huskies are shooting just 32.5% from beyond the arc and despite a perfect 9-0 SU record at home, they are crushing bettors, going 2-3 ATS when hosting, and will be outrebounded once again here. They have been beaten up on the boards by such teams as Stony Brook, Harvard, MD E-Shore, Fordham, Washington, and Marquette. Louisville's, Behanan and Dieng are combining for 17.2 RPG and will go uncontested on the glass. Smith leads the team with 18.7 PPG. Both the starters and the Cardinals bench can all shoot, pass, and rebound. They are outscoring foes by 22 PPG on the road thus far. Missouri, Memphis, and Kentucky all fell to Louisville, with their only loss being a tight game vs. Duke. The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS their L6 games played vs. the Huskies, 9-2 ATS their L11 games played on the road, 6-1 ATS their L7 games played against the Big East, and 18-7 ATS their L25 games played overall. Take Louisville. Thank you.