Late Game Sat. with Bonus

Green Bay vs. San Francisco, 01/12/2013 20:00 EDT, Score: 31 - 45

Point Spread: -2½/-120 San Francisco

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

San Fran -2.5



Short and sweet here. The fundamentals of Playoff handicapping in the NFL is to take a team who has a better defense, which San Fran does BY FAR, and the team with the better running game, which San Fran does by FAR again. No doubt QB Rodgers the best QB in this game, but Green Bay while hot heading into the playoffs, had 2 tough back to back games against Minny, and they do not have the luxury of playing Joe Webb at QB in this one, Kapernick good enough as dual threat to keep the defense guessing. Green Bays lack of running game and average defense bites them hard here. Line dropping under 3 off the fall number. A tight one, I think the DL of San Fran the difference. Harbaugh 14-3-1 at home as head coach and 2 of those losses were in OT. Home field worth 3 here. San Fran D ranked third in total yards and 2nd in points allowed.



Play 1 Unit on San Fran - also play Half unit on the UNDER 44.5 in this one