3* VEGAS INSIDER on Baltimore Ravens +

Baltimore vs. Denver, 01/12/2013 16:30 EDT, Score: 38 - 35

Point Spread: +9/-110 Baltimore

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

3* VEGAS INSIDER on Baltimore Ravens +

Baltimore is off an emotional win over Indianapolis last week in Ray Lewis' final home game. This is a team I was down on coming into the playoffs, but getting their emotional leader back stepped up their defensive efforts.

We are getting some value here since the Ravens were beaten by Denver back on 12/16 by 17 points in Baltimore. No team entered the playoffs hotter than Denver, winning their last four games by double digits.

The problem I have is that Baltimore was the only playoff team out of that bunch and they didn't look as good as the score showed in that one. The Broncos only had 187 yards through the air and 163 on the ground. If that's all the offense they can put up on Saturday Baltimore should win the game outright.

While this Bronco team gladly took the free pass to the second round of the playoffs, taking a break the way they were playing should slow them down a bit.

A solid system that supports our play that says take underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points revering a loss in which their opponent scored 28 or more points. If the team has a winning record and the rematch is in the second half of the season, these teams have gone 24-4 (85.7%) the last 10 years.