NBA FREE PICK: Charlotte Bobcats +11

Charlotte vs. New York, 01/09/2012 19:30 EDT, Score: 87 - 91

Point Spread: +11/-105 Charlotte

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

The Bobcats are just 2-6 on the season, but one of their two wins was a 118-110 win at New York last Wednesday. Charlotte got roughed up by the Pacers 99-77 on Saturday, which I believe has only added value to the Bobcats +11. The Pacers have been playing some stingy defense to start the season, which is a big reason why that game got out of hand. The Knicks come into tonight's game allowing 104.0 ppg at home this season, which is why I think Charlotte will have no trouble cashing in on this inflated line.

The Bobcats are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games, which really forced the oddsmakers to set the line a lot higher than what it should be. This has been a pretty profitable spot to back the Bobcats. Charlotte is 15-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

The Knicks have been a great team to fade at home. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. BET THE BOBCATS +11!