20* 'Bama/LSU BCS Championship BEST BET on Alabama +1

Alabama vs. LSU, 01/09/2012 20:30 EDT, Score: 21 - 0

Point Spread: +1/-120 Alabama

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Win

The Alabama Crimson Tide were fortunate to get a shot at revenge against LSU. I believe they are going to make the most of it by dominating the Tigers in the rematch. Alabama was clearly the better team in their first meeting, but found a way to lose by beating themselves. They won't make the same mistakes again.

Alabama outgained LSU 295-239 in their first meetings. The Crimson Tide really lost the game on special teams as field goal kicker Cade Foster missed four times in their 6-9 overtime loss. The Tide also committed a turnover at the goal line as their receiver was about to go into the end zone for a touchdown before having the ball stripped away.

The Crimson Tide simply have the better offense and the better defense coming into this one. Alabama averages 433.4 total yards/game behind a balanced attack that averages 220 on the ground and 214 through the air. The Tide are also No. 1 in the country in total defense (191.2 yards/game). LSU averages 375.3 yards/game offensively while giving up 252.1 yards/game defensively.

The Crimson Tide are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Alabama is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. The Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. These three trends make for a 17-1 (94%) system backing the Crimson Tide. Bet Alabama Monday.