Joe D'Amico's NCAAF Ark St/K St Go Daddy Bowl Dominator of the Year

Arkansas State vs. Kent State, 01/06/2013 21:00 EDT, Score: 17 - 13

Point Spread: -3½/-105 Arkansas State

Sportsbook: JustBet.cx

Result: Win

Sunday's winner is Arkansas State over Kent State. This is my Dominator of the Year.

The key to this game is that Kent State's defensive secondary can not stop Arkansas State's passing game. The Golden Flashes were 11th in the MAC and 108th in the nation, allowing 276.5 YPG in the air. This doesn't bode well vs. Ryan Alpin. The QB has a 67.7% CR, 3110 YP, and a 23/4 TD/INT ratio. On the ground, David Oku has 1043 YR and 15 TDs and also added 20 pass receptions. Ark State posted 30 or more 10 times this season. On "D", the Wolves only gave up real points against Oregon and Nebraska. K State has no passing game. QB, Spencer Keith tossed 9 INTs (6 in just the L4 games). Their "O" is all about the running game. Archer and Durham are a solid duo. But Ark State's front 7 will slow them down. Kent State is 5-13 ATS their L18 non-Conference games while Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS their L5 games played overall. Take Arkansas State. Thank you.