Joe D'Amico's NCAAF Cotton Bowl Blue Chip Total
Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma,
01/04/2013 20:00 EDT,
Score: 41 - 13
Total: -110/+73½ Under
Friday's winner is Texas A&M/Oklahoma UNDER. This is my Blue Chip Play of the Year.
I know Texas A&M averages 44.8 PPG while Oklahoma posts 40.2 PPG. But looking closely, the Aggies put up just 17 on the Gators and only 19 on the Tigers. And outside of their L Tech shootout, giving up 57, the A&M "D" has allowed 29 or less against every other opponent this season. Oklahoma can score but their 19 on Kansas State and 13 against Notre Dame is indicative of the disparity from their high-scoring performances vs. mediocre teams. Texas A&M has a trio of RBs that will keep the ball on the ground and give QB, Manziel only ideal opportunities to go down field. Remember that despite his success, the QB is still young and very inexperienced. Sooners QB, Jones is a stud. But they too will utilize the ground game to create passing opportunities. A&M's defense gives up just 22.5 PPG as the Sooners stop-unit yields only 24.2 PPG and boasts the Big 12's top pass defense. The last two meetings between these teams both went UNDER. The UNDER is 5-1 in the Sooners L6 non-Conference games and 6-1 in the Aggies L7 games played against teams with a winning record. Take the Under. Thank you.