3* High Roller on Indianapolis +6.5

Indianapolis vs. Baltimore, 01/06/2013 13:00 EDT, Score: 9 - 24

Point Spread: +6½/+101 Indianapolis

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

3* High Roller on Indianapolis +6.5

This game is all about how each team finished the year. I'm just not sold on Baltimore after they lost three of their last four heading into the Bengals game (which they also lost, but weren't really trying.) Back on 11/18 they barely beat Pittsburgh by a field goal and followed that up with another three point win at San Diego, then lost by a field goal in successive weeks before losing by 17 at home to Denver. The win against the Giants is impressive except NY went on a tailspin to finish off the season.

The Colts on the other hand won and covered 9 of their last 11 games. They also had some close wins, but have to be confident here after beating Houston by 12 last week and keeping them from the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The loss at New England has me a little worried they can handle the weaker teams but will struggle against premium competition, except that the Ravens have looked like anything but a top tier team here lately.

This is a solid 3* at 6.5 but if the line jumps up to 7 or more I would pay it higher. Take the Colts.