15* Steelers/Broncos NFL Sunday BEST BET on Denver +9

Pittsburgh vs. Denver, 01/08/2012 16:30 EDT, Score: 23 - 29

Point Spread: +9/-115 Denver

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Win

The Denver Broncos are showing awesome value as a home underdog Sunday. Everyone is counting Tim Tebow and the Broncos out, and every time they do that, Tebow seems to respond. This is the perfect situation to back Tebow and the Broncos with a very inflated line Sunday.

The reason I believe this line is inflated is because the Steelers simply haven't been that good on the road. Sure, they are 5-3 away from home, but only one of those wins came by more than 7 points. Pitt was simply fortunate to escape with close victories away from home all season. If they win Sunday, it won't be by more than 7 points, either.

Pittsburgh is just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games as a favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. The Steelers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Roll with the Broncos Sunday.