NCAAB DOG WITH BITE

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Louisiana-Lafayette, 12/29/2012 20:15 EDT, Score: 70 - 79

Point Spread: +5½/-109 Arkansas-Little Rock

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

On Saturday night the NBA Power System is on Golden State. Game 522 at 10:35 eastern. The Warriors fit one of my favorite system that is 17-2 and 16-2-1 ats. We want to play on home favorites of -4 or less that are off a home favored win with no rest, vs an opponent off a loss. The Warriors are a solid 12-2 in non conference games, and 3-0 ats as a home favorite of 3.5 or less. They have covered 19 of 27 on Saturday and have won 11 of 15 this month. They catch a Celtics team that just a .500 team at this point and are 1-4 ats vs teams who score 99 or more points per game. The Celtics are also just 2-6 ats off a non conference game. Look for the Warriors to Come out and Play tonight.

On Saturday the Sun Belt Side is on Arkansas Little Rock. Game 595 at 8:15 eastern. Little Rock has a better RPI than LA. Lafayette and has won 5 of 7 vs teams ranked outside the top 200 this season. The Cajuns are 2-3 vs teams ranked 150 or higher and they are 1-6 vs winning teams, 0-4 ats as a home favorite from -3.5 to -6 and have failed to cover 8 of the last 11 here at home vs an Arkansas Little Rock team that is a perfect 6-0 ats as a road dog from +3.5 to +6 and are 3-0 off a conference game, 2-1 vs losing teams and 3-1 on Saturday. Look for Arkansas Little Rock to cover here tonight.