Iowa State vs. Kansas State,
12/03/2011 12:30 EDT,
Score: 23 - 30
Point Spread: +11/-110 Iowa State
1 Unit on Iowa State +11
Iowa State is playing with a ton of confidence right now. It has won 3 of its last 4 games and has covered the spread in 4 of its last 5. After shocking a then-undefeated Oklahoma State team, many expected the Cyclones to get their doors blown off by Oklahoma. Instead, they hanged tough, on the road no less, for a 20-point loss to easily cover the 28.5-point spread. To put this in perspective, K-State was handed a 41-point loss at home by the Sooners.
This series has been extremely competitive in recent years. Iowa State has either won or lost by no more than 8 points in each of the last 4 meetings and 6 of the last 7.
In addition, plays against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a winning record on the season and playing another winning team, provided they are off an upset win on the road, are 28-8 ATS since 1992. Teams fitting into this situation are only winning by an average of 9.2 points. We'll take the points as Iowa State keeps this one closer than the odds makers think.