5* NFL Game of the Week on Bills -3.5

NY Jets vs. Buffalo, 12/30/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 9 - 28

Point Spread: -3½/+105 Buffalo

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

5* NFL Game of the Week on Bills -3.5
The Bills will be the hungrier team as they look to bring a six-game losing streak in the series to an end.

The Jets won the season's first meeting at home by 20 points but were fortunate to record such a lopsided win as they were outgained, allowing 195 yards on

the ground. They benefited from four Buffalo turnovers. New York won't be able to count on winning the turnover battle in this one as it has been extremely

turnover-prone down the stretch. It has committed 18 turnovers in its last five games.

I believe New York's 27th-ranked run defense, which gives up 135.1 yards per game, won't be able to stop Buffalo's 6th-ranked rushing attack which averages

140.5 yards per contest.

It is significant that the Bills average 5.1 yards per carry. That's because the Jets are on a 3-12 ATS slide versus excellent rushing teams that average 5.0

yards or more per carry. They have lost to these teams by an average score of 25.8 to 16.0.

Lay the number as this motivated Bills squad buries the Jets at home by abusing them with their running game.