5* Big Ten Game of the Year
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin,
12/03/2011 20:15 EDT,
Score: 39 - 42
Point Spread: -9½/-104 Wisconsin
5* Big Ten Game of the Year (FOX) on Wisconsin -9.5
Wisconsin is ranked lower than Michigan State and lost to the Spartans by 6 points earlier this season yet it is nearly a double-digit favorite? Yes, odds makers believe Wisconsin will have its revenge in a big way and want to make sure as much money as possible comes in on the Spartans.
The season's first meeting was at Michigan State, and the Badgers battled back from a rough start in that game only to get beat by a Hail Mary. Rest assured, things will be much different in this neutral field battle.
Revenge is a great thing. Consider that plays on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points out to avenge a road loss to an opponent, provided the "play on" side is coming off a home win by 17 points or more, are 46-17 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system is 15-4 ATS the last 3 seasons.
In addition, the Spartans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. The Badgers are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games, 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 conference games. Lay the points as Wiscy has it revenge.