5* NBA *BEST BET* on Minnesota Timberwolves +4

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota, 12/20/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 93 - 99

Point Spread: +3½/-103 Minnesota

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Minnesota Timberwolves +4
Off last night's satisfying win in Atlanta, I expect the Thunder to look right past a Minnesota team they have defeated 12 straight times and ahead to their Christmas matchup with the Miami Heat.

While Oklahoma City has had Minnesota's number, many of these matchups have been close. As a result, the Thunder are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. OKC has won by just 3.67 points on average in its last 6 visits to Minnesota so the value clearly lies with the T-Wolves catching more than that.

The Timberwolves lost by 11 at Miami in their last game but are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They are also 15-4 ATS versus good teams like OKC that outscore their opponents by 3.0 points or more per game over the last 2 seasons. They have lost to these teams by only 0.7 points on average. Take the T-Wolves.