4* NFL *Marquee Matchup* on Bears +3

Green Bay vs. Chicago, 12/16/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 21 - 13

Point Spread: +3/-110 Chicago

Sportsbook: JustBet.cx

Result: Loss

4* NFL *Marquee Matchup* on Bears +3

I don't blindly go against the public, but this is a game that most people are going to look at and love the Packers. Not so fast. Sure, Green Bay made a big comeback in primetime last week against the Lions, but that only added to the value of this play. Chicago has lost two straight and four of their last five games, but gets to play inside the friendly confines of Soldier Field in this one. They have struggled against the Packers as of late, but divisional rivals that have lost 5 straight games against their opponents and are home dogs are a staggering 63-46 (58%) ATS. Another staggering system backing Chicago is to play on home teams who are revenging a loss against an opponent that are also off an upset loss as a favorite. These teams have gone 155-97 (61.5%) ATS since 1983. The odds makers have over-adjusted due to Green Bay's recent success against the Bears and Chicago's struggles overall. They bounce back here today with a win over the Pack.