NBA FREE PICK: Celtics -6
Indiana vs. Boston,
01/06/2012 19:30 EDT,
Score: 87 - 74
Point Spread: -6/-105 Boston
I have not been impressed at all with the Pacers to start the season. Indiana comes in with a 4-2 record, but those four wins have came against the likes of Detroit, Toronto, Cleveland, and New Jersey. In their two losses they lost at Detroit 88-96 and were blown out at Miami 83-118 against a Heat team that was without Dwayne Wade.
Boston has also played a soft schedule to start the season, but are a perfect 4-0 since Paul Pierce returned to the team after missing the first three games (Boston lost all three games). The Celtics are also 3-0 at home, with all three wins coming by at least 8-points.
The Celtics are 3-1 against the spread in their last four home games against the Pacers. There is simply no reason the Celtics should be favored by only 6 points. Last year Boston was favored by 11-points in their only home game against the Pacers, they won that game by 12-points.
Indiana is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5, while Boston is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. BET THE CELTICS -6!