15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Valparaiso/Detroit UNDER 150
Valparaiso vs. Detroit,
01/06/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 73 - 71
Total: -110/+150 Under
Oddsmakers have set the bar way too high tonight in the Valparaiso vs. Detroit college basketball game. Just looking at the season averages between these teams, it's easy to see that this 150 number is too much.
Valparaiso averages 74.7 points/game while giving up 70.2 points/game for an average combined score of 144.9 points/game. Detroit averages 73.0 points/game while giving up 68.7 points/game for an average combined score of 141.7 points/game. I'll take my chances that this one stays UNDER the number given these averages.
This play falls into a system that is 50-16 (75.8%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on all teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DETROIT) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (