4* NCAAB *Crunch Time Bailout* on Saint Mary's -13.5

Cal Poly vs. St. Mary's, 12/01/2012 22:00 EDT, Score: 68 - 86

Point Spread: -13½/-110 St. Mary's

Sportsbook: JustBet.cx

Result: Win

4* NCAAB *Crunch Time Bailout* on Saint Mary's -13.5
Riding high off a big upset win over UCLA, expect Cal Poly to get knocked back down to earth by a hungry Saint Mary's squad that will be looking to end a 2-game skid.

Letdowns have been the norm for Cal Poly following wins or narrow margins in recent seasons. In fact, they are 3-11 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

The Mustangs really find themselves in trouble tonight because of Saint Mary's 3-point shooting. The Gaels are averaging 8 3-point makes per game on the season and are shooting them at a sweet 38.1% clip. They have averaged 9 makes from beyond the arc and have made them at a 42.2% clip in their two home games.

Cal Poly is 3-11 ATS versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. The Mustangs are also 0-8 ATS all-time under coach Callero versus teams that make 8 or more 3-point shots per game. Lay the points as the Gael's make it rain tonight.