4* SEC Championship *BEST BET* on Georgia +8

Alabama vs. Georgia, 12/01/2012 16:00 EDT, Score: 32 - 28

Point Spread: +8/-110 Georgia

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

4* SEC Championship *BEST BET* on Georgia +8
Georgia has been on a mission to get back to the SEC title game after it was blown out 42-10 by LSU in last year’s conference championship contest. Remembering how bad that loss felt, I fully expect Georgia to show much better this time around.

The Dawgs have been on an absolute tear. They have won each of their last six games by an average of 23.5 points and have covered the spread in four of their last five.

Alabama has been overvalued recently when matched up against quality opponents. In fact, it is just 1-4 against the spread in its last five games versus teams that have a winning record.

The Crimson Tide’s only defeat came to the best offensive team they have seen this season. They lost 29-24 at home to Texas A&M in a game in which they gave up 418 yards of offense. A Georgia squad that ranks 17th in scoring with 38.0 points per game and 24th in total offense with 463.8 yards per game poses problems for the Tide as well.

Alabama will have to come up with some turnovers to cover this number, and I don't see Georgia coughing it up enough. The Dawgs have committed only one turnover in their last three games. This is significant because they are 6-0 ATS the last two seasons when entering a contest off two consecutive games of committing one turnover or none.

Georgia has had the upper hand in the series lately too. It has won three of the last four meetings both straight up and against the spread.