3* NFL SMASH on Broncos -7

Tampa Bay vs. Denver, 12/02/2012 16:05 EDT, Score: 23 - 31

Point Spread: -7/-105 Denver

Sportsbook: Intertops

Result: Win

3* NFL SMASH on Broncos -7
I like Peyton Manning and the Broncos here as they go up against the worst pass defense in the NFL. The Bucs ranks dead last against the pass with 315.5 yards allowed per game. That doesn't bode well for them considering Denver is one of the top offensive teams in the league, and it does most of its damage through the air. The Broncos rank fifth in the league with 287.5 passing yards per game.

Manning, who has completed 67.7 percent of his passes for 3,260 yards with 26 TDs and 8 INTs, should have his way with the Tampa Bay secondary.

I also expect the Denver defense, which ranks fourth in the NFL with 308.4 yards allowed per game, to win its matchup against the Tampa Bay offense.

Denver is on a 44-26 ATS run in home games when playing against teams that have a winning record. Bet the Broncos.