3* NFL SMASH on Chargers +1.5

Cincinnati vs. San Diego, 12/02/2012 16:15 EDT, Score: 20 - 13

Point Spread: +1½/-110 San Diego

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Loss

3* NFL SMASH on Chargers +1.5
It is important to note that San Diego was held to just 13 points in last week’s loss to the Ravens. That’s because it is on a 6-0 against the spread run in games following a game where it was held to 14 points or fewer. It has won these six contests by an average score of 35.5 to 14.3. It is worth noting that two of these wins have come this season. In other words, this is clearly a team that is motivated by poor offensive performances.

History supports a bounce back here as well. Consider that all teams when the line is +3 to -3 off an extremely close home loss of 3 points or less, provided it is the second half of the season, are 29-9 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 5.4 points.

December has been San Diego’s month since Norv Turner was brought aboard. It is an impressive 15-6 against the spread in the month of December under his watch and has won these games by an average score of 30.3 to 17.1.

The Chargers have had the upper hand in the series. They are 8-3 (7-4 ATS) versus the Bengals over the last two decades, including 5-1 (4-2 ATS) at home during this span. It is also worth noting that the underdog has covered the number in four of the past five meetings.