5* NFL Game of the Week on Panthers -3

Carolina vs. Kansas City, 12/02/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 21 - 27

Point Spread: -3/-105 Carolina

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Loss

5* NFL Game of the Week on Panthers -3
The Panthers are a better team than their record indicates. They could easily have a winning record as they have six losses by six points or less. The Chiefs, on the other hand, are every bit as bad as their record looks. Their 10 losses have come by an average of 14.3 points and eight of those have come by eight points or more.

History is not on Kansas City's side here. Consider that plays against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have lost eight or more of their last 10 games, in weeks 10 through 13, are 26-5 ATS since 1983. Also, plays against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are getting outscored by 10.0 points or more per game are 33-9 ATS the last five seasons.

In addition, plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have lost six or seven of their last eight games, in weeks 10 through 13, are 35-10 ATS since 1983.

The Chiefs covered the spread against Denver last week but can't be trusted to do it again here. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a losing record.

The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team that has a losing home record. Take the Panthers.