4* NCAAB *BEST BET* on Denver +6

Denver vs. Southern Miss, 11/27/2012 20:00 EDT, Score: 50 - 61

Point Spread: +6/-110 Denver

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

4* NCAAB *BEST BET* on Denver +6
Motivated by back-to-back losses to solid Cal and Colorado State squads, I expect Denver to give a So. Miss team it defeated by 7 points last season a game.

The Golden Eagles are 5-0, and the last thing a team that is rolling wants is a lengthy break. They haven't played since Nov. 21, and recent history suggests that will work against them here. Consider that So. Miss is 0-6 ATS when playing on 5 or 6 days' rest since the beginning of the 2010 season. It has won these games on average but only by 3.3 points.

The Golden Eagles are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Also, plays against any team that has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have won 80% or more of their games on the season and are matched up against a team that has won 20-40% of its games, are 41-15 ATS the last 5 seasons.

So. Miss is getting a little too much respect here. Take the points.