3* NCAAB SMASH on Northern Colorado +13.5

Northern Colorado vs. Colorado State, 11/26/2012 21:00 EDT, Score: 69 - 85

Point Spread: +13½/-110 Northern Colorado

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

Motivated by back-to-back defeats, and hungry to end a two-game skid in this series, look for Northern Colorado to give Colorado State a game tonight.

The Bears have been a terrific investment when catching big points. They are on 14-3 ATS run as an underdog of 10 points or more and have lost these games by just 11.0 points on average. The Bears are on an even more impressive 12-1 ATS run as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points and have lost these games by only 10.8 points on average.

I just don't see Colorado State wanting this game as much. I expect a bit of a letdown from the Rams following their big upset win at Washington. Take the points.