15* CFB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Tech +4

Texas Tech vs. Baylor, 11/24/2012 14:30 EDT, Score: 45 - 52

Point Spread: +4/-110 Texas Tech

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

This is a huge letdown spot for Baylor after such a big win over Kansas State. It’s only human nature for a .500 team like the Bears to not show up after beating the No. 1 team in the country. There’s no way they can possibly match the intensity they played with against the Wildcats last Saturday.

While the Bears’ players have been getting patted on the back all week for their win over Kansas State, the Red Raiders’ players have been fuming over their loss at Oklahoma State last week. Tech will come in the more motivated, more focused team because of it.

Texas Tech ranks 13th in the country in total offense (495.5 yards/game), including 1st in passing offense (362.2 yards/game). They should be able to move the football at will against a Baylor stop unit that ranks 121st in total defense (504.0 yards/game), including 118th against the pass (317.6 yards/game). The Red Raiders' stop unit has a big edge in this one as they rank 25th in the country in total defense (339.4 yards/game).

The Red Raiders are 17-3 SU and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 meetings with Baylor. Texas Tech is 36-17 ATS versus good rushing teams – averaging >=200 rushing yards/game since 1992. The Red Raiders are 28-13 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1992. Texas Tech is 47-23-1 ATS in its last 71 games following a S.U. loss. Roll with Texas Tech Saturday.