3* Sunday Night Football SMASH on Packers +3

Green Bay vs. NY Giants, 11/25/2012 20:20 EDT, Score: 10 - 38

Point Spread: +3/-120 Green Bay

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

3* Sunday Night Football SMASH on Packers +3
While the Giants have stumbled lately, the Packers have been rolling. They have won their last five games by an average of 11.0 points and are 4-1 against the spread during this stretch. The Giants have failed to cover the spread in each of their last two.

New York is at home and off a bye, but neither of these factors have treated its backers well lately. The Giants are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games and 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 games following a bye week.

If you can find the Packers catching points, it has been in your best interest to take them. Green Bay is an impressive 24-12 against the spread when valued as an underdog under coach Mike McCarthy, and that’s not all.

The Packers are 19-7 against the number as a road underdog under their current boss, 16-5 against the spread as a road underdog of seven points or less and 9-2 against the spread as a road dog of three points or less. They have won by an average of 8.2 points in these 11 games.

Green Bay has also been able to rise to the occasion against top-notch competition. In fact, it has covered the spread in 10 of its last 12 games versus teams that have a winning record.

The Giants won the most recent meeting, but the Packers had won the previous two, including a 38-35 victory in New York in last season’s regular-season showdown. The Packers have also won six of the last nine meetings.

One thing you can't do is give Green Bay good field position. The Giants will have a very difficult time keeping the Packers from a short field because their kickoff coverage isn't very good. Consider that Green Bay is 15-1 ATS all-time in the second half of the season under coach McCarthy versus poor kickoff coverage teams that allowing 24 yards or more per return. This trend is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last three seasons with the Packers winning these games by an average score of 34.0 to 18.7.