5* NFL Game of the Year on Seahawks -3

Seattle vs. Miami, 11/25/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 21 - 24

Point Spread: -3/-110 Seattle

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

5* NFL Game of the Year on Seahawks -3
I absolutely love the Seahawks laying a small number in Miami Sunday.

Seattle enters with a ton of confidence following back-to-back double-digit wins, and it also enters rested and fully prepared following a bye week.

The Dolphins have lost three in a row as their offense has really struggled. It has averaged 219.5 yards, 8.5 points and 3.5 turnovers over its last two games. I expect the offense to continue to struggle this week as it goes up against one of the top defenses in the league. The Seahawks rank second in the NFL in scoring defense (16.1 ppg allowed) and third in total defense (296.8 ypg allowed).

Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that check in off two straight wins by 10 or more points and are matched up against an opponent that was held to 14.0 points or less in its last game are 23-4 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 9.3 points. It is also worth noting that this system is 5-0 ATS the last three seasons and 1-0 ATS this season.

In addition, plays on road favorites that are playing with two weeks of rest or more are 36-10 ATS the last 10 seasons. These teams are winning by an average of 11.4 points. Also, this system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season.

Miami has been a terrible investment at home for a long time. It is just 22-52-1 ATS in its last 75 home games. Take Seattle.