3* NCAAF SMASH on Toledo -19

Akron vs. Toledo, 11/20/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 23 - 35

Point Spread: -19/-110 Toledo

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Loss

3* NCAAF SMASH on Toledo -19
Akron has lost eight consecutive games and is 3-5 against the spread in these contests. It is 0-7 in conference play and is just 2-5 against the number in these contests. The Zips are 3-11 against the spread versus conference foes dating back to last season and have lost these matchups by an average of 21.0 points. The Zips are also winless (0-5) on the road this season.

Toledo has lost its last two but those came against Ball State and Northern Illinois – two of the top teams in the conference. The Rockets have still won eight of their last 10 games and are 7-4 against the spread in all games this season.

Toledo is 4-1 on the year at home where it is has been a sound investment. The Rockets are on a 49-31 ATS run at home and a 38-21 ATS run as a home favorite.

Toledo has owned the Zips over the years. In fact, it has won seven of the past eight meetings, and the Zips are just 1-5 against the number in the past six meetings.

Akron is one of the weakest defensive teams in the country. It ranks 109th in scoring defense with 35.7 points allowed per game and 100th in total defense with 449.2 yards allowed per game. It has had no answer for the run as it ranks 113th in the nation against the run with 218.3 yards allowed per game. Toledo’s 31st-ranked rushing attack, which averages 203.1 yards per game, should be able to run the ball at will in this one even if David Fluellen isn't able to go.