Monday's NBA Free Pick: Bucks/Bobcats UNDER 198

Milwaukee vs. Charlotte, 11/19/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 98 - 102

Total: -106/+198 Under

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

Monday's NBA Free Pick: Bucks/Bobcats UNDER 198

This is simply too many points for this matchup. While the Bucks are averaging an impressive 101.0 ppg this season, they will struggle to reach the century mark against a very underrated Bobcats defense. Charlotte is giving up just 94.5 ppg at home this season while holding opponents to just 39.1% from the field.

The Bobcats have only allowed two teams to reach 100 points all season. They have held each of their last three opponents under 95 points and 39% shooting. The UNDER is a perfect 4-0 over the Bobcats last four games and I'm confident it will be five straight after tonight.

Most of the public is simply unwilling to give Charlotte the respect they deserve and most believe that the Bucks are simply going to go into Time Warner Cable Arena and impose their will and make the Bobcats play their style of basketball. Not only do I like the total to stay UNDER, but I'm also leaning towards making a small bet on the Bobcats +5 as well.