5* NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7

Denver vs. Memphis, 11/19/2012 20:00 EDT, Score: 97 - 92

Point Spread: +7/-108 Denver

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7
Memphis is being overvalued because it has won eight consecutive games SU and ATS and is up against a team that has lost three in a row SU and ATS.

I'll gladly take the points here as Denver is a fantastic 30-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. It has lost these games by only 1.6 points on average.

It also bodes well for us that Denver was killed 126-100 at San Antonio in its last game. Consider that it is 16-2 ATS all-time under coach Karl after trailing in the previous game by 20 points or more at the half. The Nuggets have won by an average score of 107.2 to 97.8 in this situation.

Look for Denver to take Memphis down to the wire tonight.