Sunday's NFL Free Pick: Houston Texans -15

Jacksonville vs. Houston, 11/18/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 37 - 43

Point Spread: -15/-101 Houston

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

Sunday's NFL Free Pick: Houston Texans -15

The Texans have had the exact opposite start to the season than the Jaguars. They lead the AFC with an overall record of 8-1 and come into this game having won three straight since that embarrassing loss to the Packers back in Week 6. Laying a big number with the Texans hasn’t been much of a problem so far this season. Houston has been favored by double-digits three times and they have won and covered in each of those games. It’s a big reason why the Texans are a very profitable 7-2 ATS this season.

Even if the offense doesn’t show up to play in this game, there is good possibility the defense will be able to keep this Jaguars offense in check. Jacksonville is hands down the worst offensive team in the NFL. They rank 31st in passing offense at 184.8 ypg and 30th in rushing offense at 78.8 ypg. To no surprise, they are averaging a league-worst 14.1 ppg. The other huge factor is the Texans won’t have to worry about Maurice Jones-Drew, who scored the only offensive touchdown for the Jaguars back in the first matchup.

The Texans have certainly not let up against their division rivals lately. Houston is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games vs division opponents over the last two seasons and are an amazing 12-3 ATS over their last 15 games following a win. BET THE TEXANS!