5* NCAAF Game of the Year on Missouri -4

Syracuse vs. Missouri, 11/17/2012 19:00 EDT, Score: 31 - 27

Point Spread: -4/-110 Missouri

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Loss

5* NCAAF Game of the Year on Missouri -4
I absolutely love Missouri in this spot. This is its last home game of the season, and it will be extremely motivated by the prospect of becoming bowl eligible. It knows it better take care of business here because winning at Texas A&M in Nov. 24 will be no easy task.

Syracuse is just 1-4 in games played away from home this season, and it finds itself in a major letdown spot following last week's 45-26 home win over the then-undefeated Louisville Cardinals.

The Orange are just 1-8 ATS when playing away from home the last two seasons and have lost these games by an average score of 30.1 to 21.2. They are also on a 4-18 ATS slide on the road in games where they are valued as an underdog of 7.0 points or less. They have lost by an average score of 28.1 to 16.2 in this situation.

The Tigers held on to win at Tennessee last week but gave up 585 yards and 48 points. That poor effort actually bodes well for us because it will motivate a typically good defensive team to show up this week. The Tigers rank a respectable 35th in the nation in total defense with 353.3 yards allowed per game, and they are 24-3 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. This trend is already 2-0 ATS this season as the Tigers have won by an average of 13.5 points and held the opposition to an average of 15.0 points in these two. Lay the points as the Tigers show up in a big way in front of their home fans.