15* Ohio/Ball State ESPNU Wednesday No-Brainer on Ohio +7
Ohio vs. Ball State,
11/14/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 27 - 52
Point Spread: +7/-115 Ohio
The Bobcats are still mathematically alive for the MAC East title considering they still get to play Kent State in the final game of the season. They would need some help for that game to even matter, but at this point they are still alive.
Despite two losses in their last three games, this is still an 8-win team that returned 14 starters from a team that won the MAC East title last year, including QB Tyler Tettleton. He may be the best signal caller in the MAC. Tettleton is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 2,045 yards with 16 touchdowns and two interceptions, while also rushing for 198 yards and four scores.
Ohio is 3-1 on the road this season with its only loss coming at Miami (Ohio) by 3 points. I know the Bobcats lost to Bowling Green at home last week, but their defense played well enough to win that game, limiting the Falcons to just 288 total yards. Ball State hasn’t been stopping anybody this season, ranking 108th in the country in total defense (471.3 yards/game).
Ohio should be able to run all over Ball State's defense. The Bobcats rank 25th in the country in rushing (208.6 yards/game), while the Cardinals rank 101st against the run (213.6 yards/game). They are allowing 5.1 yards/carry this season.
The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. Frank Solich is 14-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached since 1992. The Cardinals are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Ohio Wednesday.