EARLY

Iowa State vs. Texas, 11/10/2012 12:00 EDT, Score: 7 - 33

Point Spread: +10½/-110 Iowa State

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Loss

On Saturday the Early Triple Pack is on Miami Florida. Game 123 at 12 noon eastern. Iowa St. Game 171 at 12 noon eastern and Florida game 214 at 12:20 eastern. Miami fits several variations of a system that plays on road team in short priced games when taking on an opponent off a road dog win at +10 or more, Like Virginia in their 11 point road dog win last week. The best parameter of this system is if our team has a .600 or less win percentage and the opponent is off 1 exact win of 3 or more points. Virginia has been terrible at home and is 0-4 straight up as a home favorite of 3 or less and 1-8 ats the last 3 years from +3 to -3. They have also dropped 11 of the last 16 to teams with a winning record. Miami is 49-7 straight up vs teams under .500 and 8-2 straight up and to the spread when the line is +3 to -3. They are also 6-0 ats in conference play. With Miami 5-1 ats as a road dog of 3 or less we will take them as a live dog here today in early play.. In Game 2 we want to play on an Iowa. St team that fits a solid system that actually plays against Texas. We want to fade all conference home favorites of -10 or more, if they are off a conference road dog win at +3 or more, vs an opponent that is a winning team. The basis of this system is that the favorite is off an upset win and is giving too many points to a quality team. The system is 23-5 when playing on the dog. The Cyclones have covered 3 of the last 4 on Turf, have home loss revenge and are 3-1 ats here. Texas may be flat of the big win at Texas Tech and they haves struggled on defense. We cant lay 10-11 points with a team that is 8-11 straight up vs fellow winning teams. Take the Points with Iowa St..... Game 3 we have Florida. There is a huge Power system that dates to 1980 and is very rare. We want to play against road dogs of more than 15 points if they are off a road dog win last week, vs an opponent that comes in off a home favored win and spread loss. These road dogs like LA. Lafayette are 0-8 straight up and 1-7 ats. Most of these games have been tremendous blowouts and that should be the case here today as Florida will outclass LA. Lafayette and look to blow them out while get the offense on track. Their defense will stymie the Cajuns and likely aid them with turnovers. Did I mention since 1992 that Florida is 7-0 with 6 covers vs Sun Belt teams. Gators big in this one.


Miami-Florida, Iowa. St and Florida in this Triple Pack.